Terrorist choice: a stochastic dominance and prospect theory analysis

The paper explores terrorist choice by applying two well-known theoretical frameworks: stochastic dominance and prospect theory (PT). We analyse each pair of attack methods that can be formed from the RAND-MIPT database and the Global Terrorism Database. Instances of stochastic dominance are identified. PT orderings are computed. Attention is accorded to the identification of ‘trigger points’ and the circumstances that may lead to an increased likelihood that a terrorist will select an attack method associated with a higher expected number of fatalities, i.e. a potentially more damaging attack method.     

海德格尔与基本本体论

海德格尔的整个哲学体系是在区别“存在”和“存在者”的不同含义的基础上建立起来的。在海德格尔看来,此在的本真性生存也就是存在的意义,作为基础存在论的生存论是此在对自己存在的领悟并在领悟基础上的解释。海德格尔以人的生存为基础,使哲学获得了更加广阔的视野,但未能完全摆脱传统本体论思路的消极影响。     

确定性理论在雷达型号识别中的应用

雷达型号识别是雷达对抗情报侦察的首要工作,是近一步分析雷达用途及相关武器系统的基础,也是高层次上的态势评估和威胁估计的主要依据.针对现代战争中电磁信号环境的复杂性,利用单一传感器很难对雷达型号进行准确识别,而基于确定性理论的不确定推理技术能将多个传感器在多个周期的侦察信息进行融合,所以采用确定性理论的数据融合技术,基于确定性理论的组合规则,采用分层式融合算法对雷达型号进行识别.仿真结果表明,该方法的识别结果令人满意,使采用单一传感器可能存在的无法识别或误识别等现象得到了明显的改善.     

多机空战系统的歼击机建模技术

分析了多机空战系统的顶层模型结构,给出了机载雷达、武器控制和导弹等三个主要部件的模型,可以将其应用于多机空战仿真系统的数学建模和软件设计中.     

Relaxed sequencing games have a nonempty core

We study sequencing situations with a fixed initial order and linear cost functions. Cost savings can be obtained by rearranging jobs. Next to finding an optimal order, an additional issue is formed by the division of these savings. Cooperative game theory studies this issue. A common assumption states that cooperation between players is restricted to groups that are connected according to the initial order. The value of disconnected groups is defined additively over their connected components. In this paper we allow players in disconnected coalitions to switch places as long as they do not hurt the players not in the coalition under consideration. The resulting games are called relaxed sequencing games. Although they have been studied before, no general results on stable profit divisions have been derived so far. In this paper we prove that relaxed sequencing games have a nonempty core, i.e., they all have stable profit divisions. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006     

改进的接触算法及其在光滑粒子流体动力学中的应用

采用以黎曼解描述粒子间相互作用的接触算法,模拟一维情况下包含间断的流场。在弱间断的条件下,采用弱波近似的黎曼解来描述粒子间的相互作用;在强间断的条件下,则引入非迭代黎曼解来描述粒子间的相互作用。并引入Taylor展开思想,提高了接触算法在自由边界的计算精度。该算法无需引入人为粘性,程序结构简洁。数值计算表明,改进后的接触算法能很好地描述强间断,并有效改善了原始接触算法在自由面的计算缺陷。     

大延时网络中的主动队列管理机制

研究了网络延时对路由器主动队列管理机制的影响,分析了几种典型主动队列管理算法在大延时网络中的性能。在介绍了基于内模补偿的DC-AQM算法的优缺点之后,根据PID控制器延时补偿的Ziegler-Nichols设定方法,提出了ZNDC(Ziegler-Nichols delay compensation)AQM算法并进行了仿真实验验证,实验结果表明算法达到了预期的目标。     

现代机载探测系统多源信息融合算法

针对机载探测系统的特性,应用Dempster-Shafer(D-S)证据理论和主观Bayes的组合算法,对来自机载SAR雷达、机载前视红外搜索跟踪系统(IRS)、电子支援系统(ESM)等探测系统多次观测所获得的数据,以及来自地面的电子情报(ELINT)的不同信息进行实时融合、识别,进而确定攻击对象.通过实例进行仿真证明,这种组合算法适用于不同类传感器和不同格式信息间的融合,适合于复杂信号环境.     

新型驱护舰编队舰空导弹防御体系射击效能研究

针对新型驱护舰编队舰空导弹防御体系射击效能评估这一难题,对其射击效能准则进行了确立,提出了基于排队论的射击效能评估模型,对体系射击效能进行仿真计算,总结出能对系统射击效能做出准确评估的方法,并利用实例对模型进行了验证。     

基于MSP430单片机的海浪水压场自动测量系统

提出了基于MSP430单片机的水压场自动测量系统的设计方案和实现方法并进行了实际测量.解决了自动测量系统中的低噪声、低功耗、高分辨率、大容量存储等关键技术.实验结果表明:该系统具有自动运行、电池供电、记录时间长等特点.适于高海况条件下的海浪水压场的测量.